{"id":37184,"date":"2021-03-22T16:21:14","date_gmt":"2021-03-22T19:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.impactopr.com.br\/?p=37184"},"modified":"2021-03-22T16:21:17","modified_gmt":"2021-03-22T19:21:17","slug":"lula-e-ciro-venceriam-bolsonaro-no-2o-turno-diz-poderdata","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/impactopr.com.br\/?p=37184","title":{"rendered":"Lula e Ciro venceriam Bolsonaro no 2\u00ba turno, diz PoderData"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Lula 41% X 36% Bolsonaro. Ciro 39% X 34% Bolsonaro<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pesquisa PoderData realizada de 15 a 17 de mar\u00e7o em todo o pa\u00eds com 3.500 pessoas indica que, se a elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial fosse hoje, Jair Bolsonaro (sem partido) iria para o 2\u00ba turno com Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT). O atual presidente tem 30%, e o petista, 34%.<\/strong>&nbsp;Como a margem de erro do levantamento \u00e9 de 1,8 ponto percentual, para mais ou para menos, h\u00e1 quase um empate t\u00e9cnico no limite desses percentuais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A polariza\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 grande. Depois de Bolsonaro e Lula, todos os demais candidatos testados ficam com menos de 10%. O ex-juiz federal da Lava Jato Sergio Moro (sem partido) tem 6%. Ciro Gomes (PDT), 5%. O empres\u00e1rio e apresentador da TV Globo Luciano Huck (sem partido) fica com 4%. O governador de S\u00e3o Paulo, Jo\u00e3o Doria (PSDB), tem 3%. Jo\u00e3o Am\u00f4edo (Novo) tem 3% e Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM), 2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pesquisa foi realizada pela divis\u00e3o de estudos estat\u00edsticos do Poder360. A divulga\u00e7\u00e3o do levantamento \u00e9 feita em parceria editorial com o Grupo Bandeirantes. Foram 3.500 entrevistas em 545 munic\u00edpios, nas 27 unidades da Federa\u00e7\u00e3o. A margem de erro \u00e9 de 1,8 ponto percentual. Saiba mais sobre a metodologia lendo este texto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para chegar a 3.500 entrevistas que preencham proporcionalmente (conforme aparecem na sociedade) os grupos por sexo, idade, renda, escolaridade e localiza\u00e7\u00e3o geogr\u00e1fica, o PoderData faz dezenas de milhares de telefonemas. Muitas vezes, mais de 100 mil liga\u00e7\u00f5es at\u00e9 que sejam encontrados os entrevistados que representem de forma fiel o conjunto da popula\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Quando o PoderData simula eventuais cen\u00e1rios de 2\u00ba turno, Bolsonaro fica numa situa\u00e7\u00e3o muito menos confort\u00e1vel do que no estudo de dezembro de 2020, quando vencia em todos os cen\u00e1rios de 1\u00ba e de 2\u00ba turnos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lula estava ineleg\u00edvel naquela ocasi\u00e3o e por isso n\u00e3o foi inclu\u00eddo na pesquisa. Agora, teve os processos anulados pelo STF (tudo ter\u00e1 de come\u00e7ar novamente). No confronto com o atual presidente numa simula\u00e7\u00e3o de 2\u00ba turno, o petista tem 41%. Bolsonaro fica com 36%. S\u00e3o 5 pontos percentuais de diferen\u00e7a, al\u00e9m da margem de 1,8 ponto do levantamento, segundo o PoderData.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No caso de eventual enfrentamento com Ciro Gomes, nova derrota de Bolsonaro. Tr\u00eas meses antes, em dezembro de 2020, Ciro tinha 35% e perdia para o atual presidente, que ficava com 44% (9 pontos de diferen\u00e7a). Agora, o cen\u00e1rio se inverteu. Ciro foi a 39% e Bolsonaro desceu 10 pontos, para 34%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tamb\u00e9m melhorou no cen\u00e1rio de 2\u00ba turno o apresentador Luciano Huck. Tem 40% contra 37% de Bolsonaro. Essa diferen\u00e7a (3 pontos) ainda os coloca empatados tecnicamente, mas \u00e9 not\u00e1vel o fato de Huck estar numericamente \u00e0 frente. Em dezembro de 2020, Bolsonaro tinha 44% e Huck 38%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fonte: F\u00e1bio Campana<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lula 41% X 36% Bolsonaro. Ciro 39% X 34% Bolsonaro Pesquisa PoderData realizada de 15 a 17 de mar\u00e7o em<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37185,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[47,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37184","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaques_cima","category-impacto_diario"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lula e Ciro venceriam Bolsonaro no 2\u00ba turno, diz PoderData - https:\/\/impactopr.com.br<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Um jornal h\u00e1 26 anos contando o que os outros n\u00e3o contam.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/impactopr.com.br\/?p=37184\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lula e Ciro venceriam Bolsonaro no 2\u00ba turno, diz PoderData - 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